
Key takeaways
The 21 refineries on the map above can process 11.4 million tonnes of copper a year, equal to about a third of the world's refining capacity, according to the International Copper Study Group. Capacity is what a plant is built to handle, though, not what it produces. Two of the 21 were idle when 2026 began. One of them is Indonesia's only plant on the map, the Manyar refinery in East Java, operated by PT Freeport Indonesia. It had been shut since the fourth quarter of 2025 after a mudflow at the Grasberg mine cut off its concentrate supply, and it is due to restart this month at below 30% of capacity.
Capacity on Paper, Idle in Practice
The second idle plant is ASARCO's Amarillo refinery in Texas, which ICSG marks as on care and maintenance. In January, parent Grupo Mexico said it would reopen Amarillo together with the Hayden smelter in Arizona, at an expected cost of $230 million. Manyar's pace depends on Grasberg, which we covered in June. Freeport Indonesia expects the mine's underground operations to reach only about 65% of capacity by the end of 2026, according to the same Indonesia Miner report.
The gap between capacity and output is not limited to these two plants. Across the world, refineries produced 27.5 million tonnes of copper in 2024, about 84% of what they could have, according to the ICSG.
China Kept Producing, on Bigger Plants
China, which holds 56% of the capacity on the map, kept producing. Its refined output grew 7.4% in January to April, although its leading smelters had pledged a 10% cut for the year, and March set a record of 1.33 million tonnes, the highest in data going back to 1990. Sulphuric acid, a by-product of smelting, helps. Yang Changhua of Beijing Antaike said Chinese smelters can earn more than 5,000 yuan ($733) from acid per tonne of copper.
China's share comes from plant size as well as numbers. Its ten refineries among the 21 largest averaged 635,000 tonnes of capacity in 2025, against about 459,000 for the eleven elsewhere, according to the ICSG. That gives China 48% of the plants but 56% of their capacity, above its 45% share of world refined output in 2024. Copper fits the pattern covered in our August look at energy transition minerals.
Congo's Refined Copper Mostly Comes From Smaller Plants
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Of the three routes shown above, the 21 largest plants almost all follow the smelter route. SX-EW made 17.4% of the world's refined copper in 2024, according to the ICSG. Yet only one of the 21 largest plants uses it: Tenke Fungurume in Congo, run by CMOC, with about 4% of the group's capacity.
Most SX-EW copper comes from smaller plants, and Congo is the main example. The country produced 2.6 million tonnes of refined copper in 2024, all of it through SX-EW according to the ICSG, which is more than half of the world's SX-EW output. Tenke's capacity equals about 17% of that.
The reason is geology. Ores on the African Copperbelt, which runs through southern Congo, hold 1.5% to 5% acid-soluble copper, mostly in oxide minerals such as malachite, and are richer than those in other regions, according to a 2023 review in the Journal of the Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. SX-EW is the standard process for oxide ore. The same review counted nearly 50 SX-EW sites in Congo as of 2022, of which 20 produced more than 40,000 tonnes a year.
Zero Processing Fees and an Unmade Tariff Decision
Processing fees for copper concentrate have fallen to zero. Antofagasta and a Chinese smelter agreed 2026 treatment and refining charges of zero, down from $21.25 a tonne for 2025. Reuters reported in June that spot charges had been negative for months, leaving smelters to depend on selling sulphuric acid, the by-product described above.
For Amarillo, the open question is in Washington. As of September 10, the White House had not decided whether to impose the proposed 15% duty on refined copper from January 2027, rising to 30% in 2028. Reuters reported that such tariffs could improve the economics of US smelting and refining projects.
MiningVisuals Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research.
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